La Montagne, the Order of Mont, or the Mont Order, is a multinational society interested in influencing politics and international relations.

Saturday, 28 November 2020

US foreign policy to be stable, predictable again

If we are to believe reports, Biden is expected to restore the US to similar policies to the Obama era, including when it comes to foreign policy. There have been reports that Biden wishes the US to rejoin agreements such as the Paris Agreement, JCPOA (Iran Deal), and nuclear arms reduction pacts with Russia. A less bellicose approach to China is expected. Unfortunately, Trump may complicate this before his exit. For those unaware: reports show that he asked for a military strike on Iran, and there has been a recent uptick in the regional violence surrounding Iran. These include Israeli strikes in Syria and Iran-allied militias employing waterborne IEDs against a targeted tanker off the shores of Yemen, in addition to a random assassination of a top Iranian scientist. The recent changes to the US military leadership to elevate more combat-hardened experts, and reduction of potentially vulnerable forces in nearby Afghanistan, also point to an impending attack. Something is definitely afoot, but whether it results in all-out war may be under Iran's control. Once Trump is out, these escalations will probably subside, replaced again with the slower and more patient strategies of the Obama years. Despite this, we cannot ignore the power of the Republicans in the US Senate. They will constantly be pushing for rash attacks in the Middle East region. It should be added that both Obama and Trump were unable to reverse the decline of US power. Both depended on symbolic sanctions and failed to consolidate US power in Europe, the Pacific, or the Middle East. The reversal of the US coups in Bolivia and Venezuela suggests the US on a losing streak there, once again. Biden's team likely can't prevent it.

Monday, 2 November 2020

States continue to act the same after elections

Why do elected leaders so often betray their campaign promises? Every time, even the simplest of promises are not honored by leaders, resulting in a failure to serve the people, no matter how obvious the people's message was. An obvious example is that every US president promises to withdraw from the Middle East and subsequently fails to do so. The problem lies with processes devised to deliberately obfuscate the democratic will, in order for it to be consistently and deliberately disrespected, no matter how voters voted. Full article: https://dissidentvoice.org/2020/11/why-do-presidents-break-their-promises/ 


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